That is where we’re at with Social Media
and hand held devices.
The article that provoked this meditation was titled Study: Facebook Will Lose 80% Of Its Users By 2017. The authors
reached this conclusion by using the same mathematical models for Facebook that
were used to chart the progression of plague-like diseases. The analogy is certainly apt, but if in fact
the precipitous crash of Facebook and other social media happens, it will be
for distinctly non-disease like reasons.
Diseases eventually decline because of the concept of saturation: simply put, once every susceptible to a disease is infected, there’s nobody left to get infected. In the case of social media, though, there is as of yet no indication of saturation, particularly amongst the young. Part of the reason these trends haven’t peaked is the rapid evolution of the technologies. There has simply never been a baseline against which to measure the phenomenon in order to determine if it’s pathological in its effect.
Think about it: At the start of the Social Media era just twenty-odd years ago, all we had was kludgy old E-Mail, which has simply an electronic version of regular mail: Text oriented with limited multi-media capabilities, labor intensive if you wanted to distribute your message to a wider audience, and likewise for recipients to do a mass reply. Bottom line, there were physical constraints to putting a mass message out to the world, although it did have the advantage of providing a message with limit as to length.
Diseases eventually decline because of the concept of saturation: simply put, once every susceptible to a disease is infected, there’s nobody left to get infected. In the case of social media, though, there is as of yet no indication of saturation, particularly amongst the young. Part of the reason these trends haven’t peaked is the rapid evolution of the technologies. There has simply never been a baseline against which to measure the phenomenon in order to determine if it’s pathological in its effect.
Think about it: At the start of the Social Media era just twenty-odd years ago, all we had was kludgy old E-Mail, which has simply an electronic version of regular mail: Text oriented with limited multi-media capabilities, labor intensive if you wanted to distribute your message to a wider audience, and likewise for recipients to do a mass reply. Bottom line, there were physical constraints to putting a mass message out to the world, although it did have the advantage of providing a message with limit as to length.
The first web-based social media outlets were the likes of MySpace and Facebook, offering limited messaging capability, but with text, pictures,
video, the IQ-destroying "Like" function – and most nefariously – a
utility for connecting with hundreds if not thousands of other Users with a
minimum of effort. This single feature
lobotomized social intercourse more surely than the “boob tube” ever
could: Provided the opportunity to have a list of
50 “friends” versus, say, 500, most people chose the larger group. This was true mostly
because Users immediately grasped that a friends list was not just Friends, but an
audience. And in the early days,
a larger Friends list was thought to be innocent and consequence free.
With the evolution from personal communications like E-Mail to a distributed platform like Facebook, it was incredibly
easy not only to inflict your every thought and gripe on a group of
"Friends", but play games, post photo albums, gorge on your Friends' every post, create alternate realities like Farmville just in case real life got
too messy, and otherwise create an online presence that made your every flaw visible to the world: And all of it within a communications framework that literally made conversation impossible.
Next we were on to Twitter, which cleverly
limited the text message to 140 characters and wasn't fussy at all about
grammar, thus sustaining the self-esteem of Millennials educated in public schools. Twitter is without a
doubt the primary outlet for the Idiocracy: folks with absolutely no clue, a heroin-like
addiction to the attention of others, and a ton of disposable time and
income. Just ask Justin Bieber or Paris
Hilton: http://tinyurl.com/EpicTwitterFail. Hashtag this,
you numbskulls.
Since then, social media have gotten
increasingly specialized. There's
Pinterest, a site I am convinced was built by women, for women, and whose sole
purpose is to allow them to scrounge the Internet for an endless supply of home
and personal improvement ideas designed to ensure that their husbands and
boyfriends have zero free time. There
are no more dread words in a relationship than "Honey, look what I found
on Pinterest!" Of course, real life
is always messier than the virtual perfection on line, but hey, don't take my
word for it: http://epicpinterestfail.com.
Finally, we come to pictographic sites
like Instagram that marry a smart phone camera, a short attention span, limited
technical ability and the underdeveloped cerebral cortex of the key 14 to 24
demographic that allows them to make complete asses of themselves - with
pictures - in mere seconds. Those of us
with some perspective see "Selfies" for what they really are: a
record of excruciatingly embarrassing and consequential moments broadcast to
the world on a whim; Post-Millennials see them as real-time projections of
their personal awesomeness. How else to
explain the epidemic of nudies broadcast to the world by disgruntled
ex-boyfriends? Seriously Girls? Next to "I love you" and any
declaration that includes the words "everybody's doing it", the least
believable thing your boyfriend will ever tell you is: "For Reals Babe,
this picture/video is just for me".
Where does it all end? The answer is, it doesn't. Given the trend-line, the next evolution of
social media will have even shorter messaging capabilities, will necessarily be
more vulgar, and will take inappropriateness to a whole new level. It will at once be incoherent, louder and
ruder than anything that has come before.
The messages themselves will be much more stream-of-consciousness, ejaculations
that are a direct connection between the brain and the mouth, unfiltered by the
Id.
The only logical name for this site is
"Touretter.com”, which is why I have just reserved the site on
GoDaddy. Come the next wave, I'm going
to cash in big time. "Fuck! Shit! Raspberries!": pictures attached.
The “Touretterverse” is inevitable, and,
the lexicon will have yet another term that documents our slide into
oblivion.
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